Introduction to Econometrics
Mark W. Watson
¤Ó
Pearson
Á¦ÈÞ¸ô ÁÖ¹® ½Ã °í°´º¸»ó, ÀϺΠÀ̺¥Æ® Âü¿© ¹× ÁõÁ¤Ç° ÁõÁ¤, ÇÏ·ç/´çÀÏ ¹è¼Û¿¡¼ Á¦¿ÜµÇ¹Ç·Î Âü°í ¹Ù¶ø´Ï´Ù.
Preface
PART I: INTRODUCTION AND REVIEW
1. Economic Questions and Data
2. Review of Probability
3. Review of Statistics
PART II: FUNDAMENTALS OF REGRESSION ANALYSIS
4. Linear Regression with One Regressor
5. Regression with a Single Regressor: Hypothesis Tests and Confidence Intervals
6. Linear Regression with Multiple Regressors
7. Hypothesis Tests and Confidence Intervals in Multiple Regression
8. Nonlinear Regression Functions
9. Assessing Studies Based on Multiple Regression
PART III: FURTHER TOPICS IN REGRESSION ANALYSIS
10. Regression with Panel Data
11. Regression with a Binary Dependent Variable
12. Instrumental Variables Regression
13. Experiments and Quasi-Experiments
14. Prediction with Many Regressors and Big Data
PART IV: REGRESSION ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC TIME SERIES DATA
15. Introduction to Time Series Regression and Forecasting
16. Estimation of Dynamic Causal Effects
17. Additional Topics in Time Series Regression
PART V: THE ECONOMIC THEORY OF REGRESSION ANALYSI... S
18. The Theory of Linear Regression with One Regressor
19. The Theory of Multiple Regression
Appendix
References
Glossary
Index
Mark W. Watson [Àú]
Àüü 0°³ÀÇ ±¸¸ÅÈıⰡ ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù.
ÀÎÅÍÆÄÅ©µµ¼´Â °í°´´ÔÀÇ ´Ü¼ø º¯½É¿¡ ÀÇÇÑ ±³È¯°ú ¹ÝÇ°¿¡ µå´Â ºñ¿ëÀº °í°´´ÔÀÌ ÁöºÒÄÉ µË´Ï´Ù.
´Ü, »óÇ°À̳ª ¼ºñ½º ÀÚüÀÇ ÇÏÀÚ·Î ÀÎÇÑ ±³È¯ ¹× ¹ÝÇ°Àº ¹«·á·Î ¹ÝÇ° µË´Ï´Ù.
±³È¯ ¹× ¹ÝÇ°ÀÌ °¡´ÉÇÑ °æ¿ì
»óÇ°À» °ø±Þ ¹ÞÀº ³¯·ÎºÎÅÍ 7ÀÏÀ̳» °¡´É
°ø±Þ¹ÞÀ¸½Å »óÇ°ÀÇ ³»¿ëÀÌ Ç¥½Ã, ±¤°í ³»¿ë°ú ´Ù¸£°Å³ª ´Ù¸£°Ô ÀÌÇàµÈ °æ¿ì¿¡´Â °ø±Þ¹ÞÀº ³¯·ÎºÎÅÍ 3°³¿ù À̳», ȤÀº ±×»ç½ÇÀ» ¾Ë°Ô µÈ ³¯ ¶Ç´Â ¾Ë ¼ö ÀÖ¾ú´ø ³¯·ÎºÎÅÍ 30ÀÏ À̳»
»óÇ°¿¡ ¾Æ¹«·± ÇÏÀÚ°¡ ¾ø´Â °æ¿ì ¼ÒºñÀÚÀÇ °í°´º¯½É¿¡ ÀÇÇÑ ±³È¯Àº »óÇ°ÀÇ Æ÷Àå»óÅ µîÀÌ ÀüÇô ¼Õ»óµÇÁö ¾ÊÀº °æ¿ì¿¡ ÇÑÇÏ¿© °¡´É
±³È¯ ¹× ¹ÝÇ°ÀÌ ºÒ°¡´ÉÇÑ °æ¿ì
±¸¸ÅÈ®Á¤ ÀÌÈÄ(¿ÀǸ¶ÄÏ»óÇ°¿¡ ÇÑÇÔ)
°í°´´ÔÀÇ Ã¥ÀÓ ÀÖ´Â »çÀ¯·Î »óÇ° µîÀÌ ¸ê½Ç ¶Ç´Â ÈÑ¼ÕµÈ °æ¿ì
(´Ü, »óÇ°ÀÇ ³»¿ëÀ» È®ÀÎÇϱâ À§ÇÏ¿© Æ÷Àå µîÀ» ÈѼÕÇÑ °æ¿ì´Â Á¦¿Ü)
½Ã°£ÀÌ Áö³²¿¡ µû¶ó ÀçÆǸŰ¡ °ï¶õÇÒ Á¤µµ·Î ¹°Ç°ÀÇ °¡Ä¡°¡ ¶³¾îÁø °æ¿ì
Æ÷Àå °³ºÀµÇ¾î »óÇ° °¡Ä¡°¡ ÈÑ¼ÕµÈ °æ¿ì
´Ù¹è¼ÛÁöÀÇ °æ¿ì ¹ÝÇ° ȯºÒ
´Ù¹è¼ÛÁöÀÇ °æ¿ì ´Ù¸¥ Áö¿ªÀÇ ¹ÝÇ°À» µ¿½Ã¿¡ ÁøÇàÇÒ ¼ö ¾ø½À´Ï´Ù.
1°³ Áö¿ªÀÇ ¹ÝÇ°ÀÌ ¿Ï·áµÈ ÈÄ ´Ù¸¥ Áö¿ª ¹ÝÇ°À» ÁøÇàÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖÀ¸¹Ç·Î, ÀÌÁ¡ ¾çÇØÇØ Áֽñ⠹ٶø´Ï´Ù.
Áß°í»óÇ°ÀÇ ±³È¯
Áß°í»óÇ°Àº Á¦ÇÑµÈ Àç°í ³»¿¡¼ ÆǸŰ¡ ÀÌ·ç¾îÁö¹Ç·Î, ±³È¯Àº ºÒ°¡´ÉÇÕ´Ï´Ù.
¿ÀǸ¶ÄÏ »óÇ°ÀÇ È¯ºÒ
¿ÀǸ¶ÄÏ»óÇ°¿¡ ´ëÇÑ Ã¥ÀÓÀº ¿øÄ¢ÀûÀ¸·Î ¾÷ü¿¡°Ô ÀÖÀ¸¹Ç·Î, ±³È¯/¹ÝÇ° Á¢¼ö½Ã ¹Ýµå½Ã ÆǸÅÀÚ¿Í ÇùÀÇ ÈÄ ¹ÝÇ° Á¢¼ö¸¦ ÇϼžßÇϸç, ¹ÝÇ°Á¢¼ö ¾øÀÌ ¹Ý¼ÛÇϰųª, ¿ìÆíÀ¸·Î º¸³¾ °æ¿ì »óÇ° È®ÀÎÀÌ ¾î·Á¿ö ȯºÒÀÌ ºÒ°¡´ÉÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖÀ¸´Ï À¯ÀÇÇϽñ⠹ٶø´Ï´Ù.
¹è¼Û¿¹Á¤ÀÏ ¾È³»
ÀÎÅÍÆÄÅ© µµ¼´Â ¸ðµç »óÇ°¿¡ ´ëÇØ ¹è¼Û¿Ï·á¿¹Á¤ÀÏÀ» À¥»çÀÌÆ®¿¡ Ç¥½ÃÇÏ°í ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù.
<ÀÎÅÍÆÄÅ© Á÷¹è¼Û »óÇ°>
»óÇ°Àº ¿ù~Åä¿äÀÏ ¿ÀÀü 10½Ã ÀÌÀü ÁÖ¹®ºÐ¿¡ ´ëÇÏ¿© ´çÀÏ Ãâ°í/´çÀÏ ¹è¼Û¿Ï·á¸¦ º¸ÀåÇÏ´Â »óÇ°ÀÔ´Ï´Ù.
»óÇ°Àº ¼¿ïÁö¿ª/ÆòÀÏ ÁÖ¹®ºÐÀº ´çÀÏ Ãâ°í/ÀÍÀÏ ¹è¼Û¿Ï·á¸¦ º¸ÀåÇϸç,
¼¿ï¿ÜÁö¿ª/ÆòÀÏ ÁÖ¹®ºÐÀÇ °æ¿ì´Â ¿ÀÈÄ 6½Ã±îÁö ÁÖ¹®ºÐ¿¡ ´ëÇÏ¿© ÀÍÀÏ ¹è¼Û¿Ï·á¸¦ º¸ÀåÇÏ´Â »óÇ°ÀÔ´Ï´Ù.
(´Ü, ¿ù¿äÀÏÀº 12½Ã±îÁö ÁÖ¹®¿¡ ÇÑÇÔ)
»óÇ°Àº, ÀÔ°í¿¹Á¤ÀÏ(Á¦Ç°Ãâ½ÃÀÏ)+Åùè»ç¹è¼ÛÀÏ(1ÀÏ)¿¡ ¹è¼Û¿Ï·á¸¦ º¸ÀåÇÕ´Ï´Ù.
~
»óÇ°Àº À¯ÅëƯ¼º»ó ÀÎÅÍÆÄÅ©¿¡¼ Àç°í¸¦ º¸À¯ÇÏÁö ¾ÊÀº »óÇ°À¸·Î ÁÖ¹®ÀÏ+±âÁØÃâ°íÀÏ+Åùè»ç¹è¼ÛÀÏ(1ÀÏ)¿¡ ¹è¼Û¿Ï·á¸¦ º¸ÀåÇÕ´Ï´Ù.(Åä/°øÈÞÀÏÀº ¹è¼Û±â°£¿¡ Æ÷ÇÔµÇÁö ¾Ê½À´Ï´Ù.)
¡Ø±âÁØÃâ°íÀÏ:ÀÎÅÍÆÄÅ©°¡ »óÇ°À» ¼ö±ÞÇÏ¿© ¹°·ùâ°í¿¡¼ Æ÷Àå/Ãâ°íÇϱâ±îÁö ¼Ò¿äµÇ´Â ½Ã°£
<¾÷ü Á÷Á¢¹è¼Û/¿ÀǸ¶ÄÏ »óÇ°>
~
»óÇ°Àº ¾÷ü°¡ ÁÖ¹®À» È®ÀÎÇÏ°í, Ãâ°íÇϱâ±îÁö °É¸®´Â ½Ã°£ÀÔ´Ï´Ù. ÁÖ¹®ÀÏ+±âÁØÃâ°íÀÏ+Åùè»ç¹è¼ÛÀÏ(2ÀÏ)¿¡ ¹è¼Û¿Ï·á¸¦ º¸ÀåÇÕ´Ï´Ù.(Åä/°øÈÞÀÏÀº ¹è¼Û±â°£¿¡ Æ÷ÇÔµÇÁö ¾Ê½À´Ï´Ù.)
¡Ø5ÀÏÀ̳» Ãâ°í°¡ ½ÃÀÛµÇÁö ¾ÊÀ»½Ã, ¿ÀǸ¶ÄÏ »óÇ°Àº ÀÚµ¿À¸·Î ÁÖ¹®ÀÌ Ãë¼ÒµÇ¸ç, °í°´´Ô²² Ç°Àýº¸»ó±ÝÀ» Áö±ÞÇØ µå¸³´Ï´Ù.
¹è¼Ûºñ ¾È³»
µµ¼(Áß°íµµ¼ Æ÷ÇÔ)¸¸ ±¸¸ÅÇϽøé : ¹è¼Ûºñ 2,000¿ø (1¸¸¿øÀÌ»ó ±¸¸Å ½Ã ¹«·á¹è¼Û) À½¹Ý/DVD¸¸ ±¸¸ÅÇϽøé : ¹è¼Ûºñ 1,500¿ø (2¸¸¿øÀÌ»ó ±¸¸Å ½Ã ¹«·á¹è¼Û)
ÀâÁö/¸¸È/±âÇÁÆ®¸¸ ±¸¸ÅÇϽøé : ¹è¼Ûºñ 2,000¿ø (2¸¸¿øÀÌ»ó ±¸¸Å ½Ã ¹«·á¹è¼Û)
µµ¼¿Í À½¹Ý/DVD¸¦ ÇÔ²² ±¸¸ÅÇϽøé : ¹è¼Ûºñ 1,500¿ø 1¸¸¿øÀÌ»ó ±¸¸Å ½Ã ¹«·á¹è¼Û)
µµ¼¿Í ÀâÁö/¸¸È/±âÇÁÆ®/Áß°íÁ÷¹è¼Û»óÇ°À» ÇÔ²² ±¸¸ÅÇϽøé : 2,000¿ø (1¸¸¿øÀÌ»ó ±¸¸Å ½Ã ¹«·á¹è¼Û)
¾÷üÁ÷Á¢¹è¼Û»óÇ°À» ±¸¸Å½Ã : ¾÷üº°·Î »óÀÌÇÑ ¹è¼Ûºñ Àû¿ë
* ¼¼Æ®»óÇ°ÀÇ °æ¿ì ºÎºÐÃë¼Ò ½Ã Ãß°¡ ¹è¼Ûºñ°¡ ºÎ°úµÉ ¼ö ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù.
* ºÏÄ«Æ®¿¡¼ ¹è¼Ûºñ¾ø¾Ö±â ¹öÆ°À» Ŭ¸¯Çϼż, µ¿ÀϾ÷ü»óÇ°À» Á¶±Ý ´õ ±¸¸ÅÇϽøé, ¹è¼Ûºñ¸¦ Àý¾àÇÏ½Ç ¼ö ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù.
Çؿܹè¼Û ¾È³»
ÀÎÅÍÆÄÅ©µµ¼¿¡¼´Â ±¹³»¿¡¼ ÁÖ¹®ÇϽðųª ÇØ¿Ü¿¡¼ ÁÖ¹®ÇÏ¿© ÇØ¿Ü·Î ¹è¼ÛÀ» ¿øÇÏ½Ç °æ¿ì DHL°ú Ư¾àÀ¸·Î Ã¥Á¤µÈ ¿ä±ÝÇ¥¿¡
ÀÇÇØ °³ÀÎÀÌ ÀÌ¿ëÇÏ´Â °æ¿ìº¸´Ù ¹è¼Û¿ä±ÝÀ» Å©°Ô ³·Ã߸ç DHL(www.dhl.co.kr)·Î Çؿܹè¼Û ¼ºñ½º¸¦ Á¦°øÇÕ´Ï´Ù.
Çؿܹè¼ÛÀº µµ¼/CD/DVD »óÇ°¿¡ ÇÑÇØ ¼ºñ½ºÇÏ°í ÀÖÀ¸¸ç, ´Ù¸¥ »óÇ°À» ºÏÄ«Æ®¿¡ ÇÔ²² ´ãÀ¸½Ç °æ¿ì Çؿܹè¼ÛÀÌ ºÒ°¡ÇÕ´Ï´Ù.
ÇØ¿ÜÁÖ¹®¹è¼Û ¼ºñ½º´Â ÀÎÅÍÆÄÅ© µµ¼ ȸ¿ø °¡ÀÔÀ» Çϼž߸¸ ½Åû °¡´ÉÇÕ´Ï´Ù.
¾Ë¾ÆµÎ¼¼¿ä!!!
µµ¸Å»ó ¹× Á¦ÀÛ»ç »çÁ¤¿¡ µû¶ó Ç°Àý/ÀýÆÇ µîÀÇ »çÀ¯·Î Ãë¼ÒµÉ ¼ö ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù.
¿ÀǸ¶ÄϾ÷üÀÇ ¹è¼ÛÁö¿¬½Ã ÁÖ¹®ÀÌ ÀÚµ¿À¸·Î Ãë¼ÒµÉ ¼ö ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù.
Ãâ°í°¡´É ½Ã°£ÀÌ ¼·Î ´Ù¸¥ »óÇ°À» ÇÔ²² ÁÖ¹®ÇÒ °æ¿ì Ãâ°í°¡´É ½Ã°£ÀÌ °¡Àå ±ä ±âÁØÀ¸·Î ¹è¼ÛµË´Ï´Ù.
À¯ÅëÀÇ Æ¯¼º»ó Ãâ°í±â°£Àº ¿¹Á¤º¸´Ù ¾Õ´ç°ÜÁö°Å³ª ´ÊÃçÁú ¼ö ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù.
Åùè»ç ¹è¼ÛÀÏÀÎ ¼¿ï ¹× ¼öµµ±ÇÀº 1~2ÀÏ, Áö¹æÀº 2~3ÀÏ, µµ¼, »ê°£, ±ººÎ´ë´Â 3ÀÏ ÀÌ»óÀÇ ½Ã°£ÀÌ ¼Ò¿äµË´Ï´Ù.